The Last Gasp of WW1: The End of the Sykes-Picot Lines in Mesopotamia and the Middle East

The time of the Sykes-Picot borders is over. As we “celebrate” the centennial anniversary of the outbreak of the Great War (WW1) it is clear that the Franco-British dissection of the Ottoman Empire’s southeastern marches has run its course.

As a whole the lines drawn on maps in far off Paris and London were irrational and created colonies and mandates irrespective of actual nations and cultures. If the Treaty of Versailles sowed the seeds of WW2, The Treaty of Sèvres, (the Ottoman Empire’s treaty of capitulation) laid the seed for World War 3.  The State of Israel, Turkey and the Kingdom of Jordan are the only three states with national characters. (And Jordan is just barely so.)

The ONLY solution can be the re-drawing of national borders. A region with a Kurdish majority should be carved out of Turkey, Iraq and Syria. As we recall the Ottomans picked the wrong horse. Thus Turkey ought to have lost its Kurdish region after WW1. Syria is an artificial entity. Its Kurdish majority region ought be amalgamated with the rest of a new nation-state of Kurdistan. Perhaps the rest of Syria and Lebanon could be unified and made into a Federal state. Thus a Federal District of Damascus would house a congress with representatives from regions and city-states: Aleppo, Hama-Homs, Euphrates, and Damascus-Dara’a, as well as Beirut.  The northern coastal region of Syria would be given to a Greater Kurdistan in exchange for gaining Lebanon.  Thus Kurdistan will have an outlet to the sea.  (See first map.) Or perhaps this region would be ceded to Turkey in exchange for its donation of Turkish Kurdistan.

58671,1300195370,kurdistan3Iraq is the most powerful and dysfunctional artificial state in the region. It is doomed. The solution is the erasure of the Sykes-Picot lines and the division of Iraq into its constituent nationalities.
A new nation-state of Kurdistan would encompass the areas with Kurdish majority in Iraq, Syria and Turkey, along with its Turkmen, Yazidi and Assyrian enclaves.  Its capital if it is to be solely Iraqi-Kurdistan would be Irbil.   If a greater Kurdistan incorporating Kurdish Syria and Turkey a more central capital would be picked.
Central Iraq would be an independent Sunni state, or perhaps combined with the “Euphrates State” of Federal Syria into a unitary state of بين الانهار. “Between The Rivers”, with Bagdad its capital.
Finally the new state of Shiite Basra would rule in the south.
These three new states: Kurdistan, Central Iraq and Basra would sign a treaty of Baghdad allowing for a free flow of commerce between them. The ex-Syrian State of Euphrates may also be made part of this Treaty.
By creating these new nation-states the hyper-nationalist and hyper-Islamic impulses would be channeled into constructive energy. Western Aid and investment can also be channeled more precisely into those new states that are becoming stable and humane. Each nation would be capable of self-defense, and as sovereign states would engage in alliance building with the other new states and with the wider world.
It is ludicrous that one of the products of the War to End All Wars contains the seeds of the War to End All Things! The Sykes-Picot lines are as anachronistic as the grass-covered trenches that still scar Belgium and France. These lines risk becoming new scars of destruction upon the landscape.
Historical forces are on the move in this region. The US as a content world superpower is reflexively invested in maintaining the status quo. We are unable to do so at a cost that anyone might justify. Therefore we must facilitate a new order in this region, or at least stand back and allow it.kurdistan Iraq_Ethnic_smMaps: Left Kurdistan, Right Iraq ethnicities.  

Syria/Iraq is dividing into natural nations. Syria/Iraq is dividing into natural nations.


Naval Confrontation, WW1 + 99 Years

*Russia tells U.S. how Syria plan will go down..
*Iran to U.S.: ‘We will destroy your world’…
*Russia’s ‘carrier-killer’ enters Mediterranean…
SUDDENLY OBAMA’S WEAKNESS HAS BROUGHT THE REAL CRISIS. Putin’s actions have been such that America MUST fully protest and reinforce the Eastern Med or retreat across the Atlantic.
IF PUTIN is arming Iran and bringing its “Carrier-killer” into the Mediterranean, it is crossing into extremely dangerous waters. This “Killer” would necessarily have to be destroyed immediately upon any hostilities: even upon the strong chance of hostilities.
The USN must bring a destroyer and an attack sub to within range of Russian electronics, they must be allowed to know they are there. And of course multiple weapons systems must be targeting this ship at all times.
99 years ago last month the calculus of timetables ignited WW1. Russian mobilization required more time than the other European Powers. The Czar believed that because of that he had to start his mobilization at the first hint of war with Austro-Hungary and Germany. As Russia mobilized Germany had no choice but to begin her mobilization. At German mobilization France had no choice but begin hers. This was a slow motion but relentless fuse. With guided missile “Carrier-Killers” in the Med, the same calculus applies but one on crack.
To the America-bashers of Conspiracy Land: You all have become unrealistically enamored of Putin. Because he stands against the West Inc. you look up to him. However, recall he is a KGB man. If Russia is allowed to overawe the US Navy in the Med, we will be forced to retreat perhaps to Britain. Israel and Western Europe will have to make their necessary arrangements and deal with a Russian dominated Med.
NATO will be as destroyed, as the Warsaw Pact. The Suez would come under Russian domination.
I have long felt the Carriers are like the battleships of WW2: obsolete. The Falklands War should have put the US Navy on notice that the age of the Super Carrier Task Force has passed. Perhaps they were good for overawing developing nations, but if real war with China or Russia (even Iran) came, a barrage of anti-Ship missiles could destroy a several billion dollar system and kill thousands of sailors.
With B1 and B2 Stealth bombers capable of flying from Oklahoma to any target in the world and back, the need for local airfields is past. A Carrier Task force is just a hugely expensive airfield at sea.
The USN like militaries in general, are always preparing to fight the last war; especially if that war was on the scale and grandeur of the Pacific War. We have lost our industrial heart. We will NOT be able to absorb the first blow, and bounce back with massive output of new ships as we did in 1941- 45. A Chinese/Russian missile attack on US Carrier Groups would be Pearl Harbor times millions. We would be forced to go nuclear or retreat to North America while the rest of the world would be brought under Sino-Russian power. Perhaps the EU would be forced to accommodate itself into the new world. In that case we would also face a Germany rapidly re-arming, along with the rest of the world’s resources being mobilized against us.
Suddenly Syria is very unimportant.